John Strand has seen the article Scoop: Trump team considers nationalizing 5G network and the alleged “NSC document” to which it refers. In his opinion, the are so many factual errors and assumptions in the document that it is likely to have been produced by a student using Google search.
Key4biz has interviewed John Strand to get his comment on the matter.
- What is wrong with the document?
The fundament of the document is that there is that America are fighting China in USA – and a response to that ware is to build a government owned and controlled network. The fact is that the Chinese have been effectively banned from the US telecom equipment market and have been for almost 15 years. On top of that American operators have and work close together with the American authorities regarding cybersecurity in USA.
- Does the document have a realistic view regarding 5G and the roadmap to a 5G market.
Not at all, the person believe that every G (2G, 3G, 4G and 5G) is a total new networks there do not include the previous technologies. In the real world changes from 3G over 4G to 5G is not a technology shift but a technology evolution where 4G will be the cornerstone of 5G for many years. The is roadmap to 5G and in the document 5G is the fundament for IoT, in real life IoT will be dominated by NB-LTE and the American operators are right now rolling NB-LTE out in USA.
- What is your opinion about the documents view on the existing market in USA.
The person have no clue on what the American operators are doing today, How there roadmap are looking today and the next 18 month. America are right now driving on the 5G road and 4G, 4.5G and 5G are melting together in intelligent networks and services. The person there did the networks don’t understand that phones and devices will have chipsets there support 3G, 4G and 5G on one chip and use the different networks different places in the country.
- What’s more wrong with the document?
The person don’t understand how the mobile value chain looks like and how it works. The company names there are in the report are top of mind names and show that there person there did the document have a limited knowledges regarding the value chain and the companies. The description of the use of satellites are absurd the same is the description of how the defense industry will use 5G. I will suggest that the person there did the document visit Pentagon and talk to some of there communication experts.
- Is there the spectrum accessible today or do FCC have to free spectrum for a project like this?
The spectrum the report are talking about are on free right now. It will be a big job, take time and cost a lot of money to free up this spectrum. On that point the document prove a lack of knowledge regarding the market.
- What about the cost for a project like this is it realistic?
The person have no clue regarding cost, what it will take to make a healthy 5G business case. In our report: How a carrier’s carrier can add value to the mobile market, a 200 paged report based on our experience from Mexico and other countries in conceptualizing these kinds of networks we describe how you create a healty business case. This project are not realistic – you can not create a nation wide 5G network with 3.7-4.2 GHz band – the 3.7-4.2 GHz spectrum are spectrum you use to build capacity and not national coverage. Backhaul for a project like this will cost about 200 billion $ , it will take 5 to 7 year to build the network and the network will face big competition from existing operators.
- What are the bottom line regarding this idea?
That document look like something a high school student have made – the media there called the story a “scoop” are a great candidate to tis years fake news award. The president’s office, the American regulator and a lot of other people cant take that event serious. Personly are im choked over the number of media there just printed the story Axios called a scoop.